Match

North Macedonia U17 vs San Marino U17: prediction and stats

UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)

North Macedonia U17San Marino U17

The Footlab model makes North Macedonia U17 the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for San Marino U17. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win North Macedonia U17 vs San Marino U17?

North Macedonia U17 starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,332 vs 1,209).

North Macedonia U17 win58 %
Draw21 %
San Marino U17 win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, North Macedonia U17 have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; San Marino U17 have 1, 0 and 14.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

North Macedonia U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 31, 2026Slovenia U17(home)0-4UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 28, 2026France U17(away)1-2UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 25, 2026Germany U17(away)1-2UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Feb 26, 2026Georgia U17(away)1-2Friendlies
Feb 24, 2026Georgia U17(away)0-0Friendlies
San Marino U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 16, 2026Andorra U17(away)1-3UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Apr 13, 2026Wales U17(away)1-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Apr 10, 2026Georgia U17(home)1-4UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Nov 3, 2025Bulgaria U17(home)0-5UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Oct 31, 2025Slovakia U17(away)0-2UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification

How many goals should we expect?

North Macedonia U17 score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; San Marino U17 score 0.2 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
North Macedonia U171.21.736/1510/15
San Marino U170.23.112/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

North Macedonia U17 sit 2nd in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (4 points from 3 matches) and San Marino U17 sit 3rd (3 points from 3 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2North Macedonia U1731111144
3San Marino U173102373

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for North Macedonia U17 vs San Marino U17?
The Footlab model makes North Macedonia U17 the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for San Marino U17.
Where and when is North Macedonia U17 vs San Marino U17 played?
North Macedonia U17 vs San Marino U17 is played on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: North Macedonia U17 and San Marino U17

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