North Macedonia U17 vs San Marino U17: prediction and stats
UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes North Macedonia U17 the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for San Marino U17. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win North Macedonia U17 vs San Marino U17?
North Macedonia U17 starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,332 vs 1,209).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, North Macedonia U17 have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; San Marino U17 have 1, 0 and 14.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Slovenia U17(home) | 0-4 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 28, 2026 | France U17(away) | 1-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Germany U17(away) | 1-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Georgia U17(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Georgia U17(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2026 | Andorra U17(away) | 1-3 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Wales U17(away) | 1-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Georgia U17(home) | 1-4 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Bulgaria U17(home) | 0-5 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Slovakia U17(away) | 0-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
How many goals should we expect?
North Macedonia U17 score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; San Marino U17 score 0.2 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Macedonia U17 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| San Marino U17 | 0.2 | 3.1 | 1 | 2/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
North Macedonia U17 sit 2nd in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (4 points from 3 matches) and San Marino U17 sit 3rd (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | North Macedonia U17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 4 |
| 3 | San Marino U17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for North Macedonia U17 vs San Marino U17?
- The Footlab model makes North Macedonia U17 the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for San Marino U17.
- Where and when is North Macedonia U17 vs San Marino U17 played?
- North Macedonia U17 vs San Marino U17 is played on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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