Chesterfield vs Walsall: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 39Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield, Derbyshire
The Footlab AI model makes Chesterfield the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Walsall. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chesterfield wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Walsall?
On Elo ratings, Chesterfield has 1,845 points and Walsall 1,785.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chesterfield vs Walsall
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chesterfield
4-2-3-1- 10L. Bonis
- 20G. McEachran
- 8R. Stirk
- 24D. Markanday
- 18L. Marsh
- 31J. Randall
- 6J. Simpson
- 33R. Hutton
- 19L. Gordon
- 5K. McFadzean
- 23R. Boot
Walsall
4-2-3-1- 19A. Pressley
- 11R. Smith
- 6S. Sprangler
- 15Isaac Moore
- 9A. Dallas
- 10L. Simper
- 3M. Hancock
- 4J. Connolly
- 25D. Skura
- 22E. Ahui
- 1J. Ward
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chesterfield have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Walsall have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Crawley Town(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tranmere(home) | 4-2 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Port Vale(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | York(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Fulham U21(home) | 3-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Tranmere(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Stevenage(home) | 1-6 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Port Vale(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Chesterfield wins, 2 draws, 4 Walsall wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Chesterfield 2-2 Walsall | League Two |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Walsall 1-0 Chesterfield | League Two |
| May 16, 2025 | Walsall 2-1 Chesterfield | League Two |
| May 11, 2025 | Chesterfield 0-2 Walsall | League Two |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Walsall 3-1 Chesterfield | League Two |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Chesterfield 2-2 Walsall | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Chesterfield vs Walsall on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chesterfield score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Walsall score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chesterfield | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Walsall | 1.1 | 1.0 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chesterfield sit 7th in League Two (15 points from 10 matches) and Walsall sit 6th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Walsall | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 15 |
A question about Chesterfield vs Walsall?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chesterfield vs Walsall?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chesterfield the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Walsall.
- Where and when is Chesterfield vs Walsall played?
- Chesterfield vs Walsall is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at SMH Group Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.