Northern Ireland U17 vs Azerbaijan U17: prediction and stats
UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Northern Ireland U17 the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Azerbaijan U17. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Northern Ireland U17 vs Azerbaijan U17?
Northern Ireland U17 starts as the favourite with a 206-point Elo edge (1,479 vs 1,272).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Northern Ireland U17 have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Azerbaijan U17 have 1, 6 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Scotland U17(home) | 1-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Turkey U17(away) | 0-4 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Spain U17(away) | 0-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Norway U17(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Sweden U17(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | Malta U17(home) | 2-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Lithuania U17(away) | 0-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Bulgaria U17(away) | 1-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Romania U17(home) | 1-5 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Israel U17(away) | 1-5 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
How many goals should we expect?
Northern Ireland U17 score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Azerbaijan U17 score 1.1 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Ireland U17 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Azerbaijan U17 | 1.1 | 2.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Northern Ireland U17 sit 2nd in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (5 points from 3 matches) and Azerbaijan U17 sit 3rd (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Northern Ireland U17 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Azerbaijan U17 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Northern Ireland U17 vs Azerbaijan U17?
- The Footlab model makes Northern Ireland U17 the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Azerbaijan U17.
- Where and when is Northern Ireland U17 vs Azerbaijan U17 played?
- Northern Ireland U17 vs Azerbaijan U17 is played on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 23, 2026Iceland U17vsGibraltar U17
- Sep 23, 2026Bosnia-Herzegovina U17vsGreece U17
- Sep 26, 2026Greece U17vsGibraltar U17
- Sep 26, 2026Iceland U17vsBosnia-Herzegovina U17
- Sep 29, 2026Gibraltar U17vsBosnia-Herzegovina U17
- Sep 29, 2026Greece U17vsIceland U17
- Oct 12, 2026Israel U17vsSwitzerland U17
- Oct 12, 2026Spain U17vsLiechtenstein U17