Where and when is Northern Ireland U17 vs Germany U17 played?

Northern Ireland U17 vs Germany U17 is played on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Northern Ireland U17 vs Germany U17: prediction and stats

UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)

Northern Ireland U17

Germany U17

The Footlab model makes Germany U17 the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Northern Ireland U17. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Northern Ireland U17 vs Germany U17?

Germany U17 starts as the favourite with a 238-point Elo edge (1,716 vs 1,478).

Northern Ireland U17 win26 %

Draw22 %

Germany U17 win52 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Northern Ireland U17 have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Germany U17 have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Northern Ireland U17
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Mar 21, 2026	Scotland U17(home)	1-2	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 18, 2026	Turkey U17(away)	0-4	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 15, 2026	Spain U17(away)	0-2	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Feb 21, 2026	Norway U17(home)	1-1	Friendlies
Feb 18, 2026	Sweden U17(home)	2-1	Friendlies

Germany U17
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Mar 31, 2026	France U17(away)	0-2	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 28, 2026	Slovenia U17(home)	1-1	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 25, 2026	North Macedonia U17(home)	2-1	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Feb 18, 2026	Portugal U17(away)	0-1	Friendlies
Feb 15, 2026	Spain U17(away)	2-3	Friendlies

How many goals should we expect?

Northern Ireland U17 score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Germany U17 score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Northern Ireland U17	1.2	1.7	1	10/15	9/15
Germany U17	1.9	1.1	3	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Northern Ireland U17 sit 2nd in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (5 points from 3 matches) and Germany U17 sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Germany U17	2	2	0	0	8	1	6
2	Northern Ireland U17	3	1	2	0	3	2	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Northern Ireland U17 vs Germany U17?: The Footlab model makes Germany U17 the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Northern Ireland U17.
Where and when is Northern Ireland U17 vs Germany U17 played?: Northern Ireland U17 vs Germany U17 is played on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.