Norway vs Bulgaria: result 1-0 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague C - 4Kick-off on October 16, 2018 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Ullevaal Stadion, Oslo
Full time
What was the result of Norway vs Bulgaria?
Norway won 1-0 on October 16, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 31′M. ElyounoussiNorway
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Norway have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Bulgaria have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2018 | Slovenia(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 9, 2018 | Bulgaria(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 6, 2018 | Cyprus(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 6, 2018 | Panama(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 2, 2018 | Iceland(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2018 | Cyprus(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 9, 2018 | Norway(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 6, 2018 | Slovenia(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Mar 26, 2018 | Kazakhstan(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 23, 2018 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Norway win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Bulgaria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2018 | Bulgaria 1-0 Norway | UEFA Nations League |
How many goals should we expect?
Norway score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Bulgaria score 1.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norway | 1.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Bulgaria | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy