Norwich vs Wolves: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Carrow Road, Norwich, Norfolk
The Footlab AI model makes Wolves the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Norwich. The most likely score is 1-1. If Wolves wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Norwich vs Wolves?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Norwich (1,993) and Wolves (2,078).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Norwich vs Wolves
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Norwich
4-2-3-1- 30M. Kvistgaarden
- 11A. Brooks
- 7P. Mattsson
- 29O. Schwartau
- 16Jacob Wright
- 23K. McLean
- 33J. Córdoba
- 15Ruairi McConville
- 3J. Stacey
- 13D. Yongwa
- 1V. Kovačević
Wolves
4-2-3-1- 10A. Armstrong
- 7André
- 36M. Mane
- 28Fer López
- 21Rodrigo Gomes
- 5M. Munetsi
- 34N. Djiga
- 3Hugo Bueno
- 2K. Trippier
- 37L. Krejčí
- 1José Sá
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 04:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Norwich have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Wolves have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 3-4 | Championship |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 0-5 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Middlesbrough(away) | 3-4 | Championship |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Birmingham(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Middlesbrough(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2026 | West Brom(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Everton(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Norwich win, 3 draws, 2 Wolves wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2022 | Wolves 1-1 Norwich | Premier League |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Wolves 0-1 Norwich | FA Cup |
| Nov 27, 2021 | Norwich 0-0 Wolves | Premier League |
| Feb 23, 2020 | Wolves 3-0 Norwich | Premier League |
| Dec 21, 2019 | Norwich 1-2 Wolves | Premier League |
| Feb 21, 2018 | Wolves 2-2 Norwich | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Norwich score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Wolves score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Wolves | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Norwich sit 19th in Championship (9 points from 9 matches) and Wolves sit 9th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wolves | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 14 |
| 19 | Norwich | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 19 | 9 |
A question about Norwich vs Wolves?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Norwich vs Wolves?
- The Footlab AI model makes Wolves the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Norwich.
- Where and when is Norwich vs Wolves played?
- Norwich vs Wolves is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Carrow Road, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.