Norwich vs Wolves: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Carrow Road, Norwich, Norfolk
The Footlab model makes Wolves the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Norwich. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Norwich vs Wolves?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Norwich (1,905) and Wolves (2,000).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Norwich have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Wolves have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | West Brom(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 4-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Cambridge United(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Osasuna(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Preston(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Port Vale(home) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Doncaster(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Norwich win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Wolves win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2022 | Wolves 1-1 Norwich | Premier League |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Wolves 0-1 Norwich | FA Cup |
| Nov 27, 2021 | Norwich 0-0 Wolves | Premier League |
| Feb 23, 2020 | Wolves 3-0 Norwich | Premier League |
| Dec 21, 2019 | Norwich 1-2 Wolves | Premier League |
| Feb 21, 2018 | Wolves 2-2 Norwich | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Norwich score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Wolves score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Wolves | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Norwich sit 23rd in Championship (0 points from 2 matches) and Wolves sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wolves | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 23 | Norwich | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Norwich vs Wolves?
- The Footlab model makes Wolves the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Norwich.
- Where and when is Norwich vs Wolves played?
- Norwich vs Wolves is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Carrow Road, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.