Birmingham vs West Ham: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)St Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
The Footlab AI model makes West Ham the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Birmingham. The most likely score is 1-1. If West Ham wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Birmingham vs West Ham?
West Ham starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (2,135 vs 1,974).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Birmingham vs West Ham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Birmingham
4-2-3-1- 9A. Priske
- 24T. Iwata
- 28J. Stansfield
- 17L. Millar
- 14J. Solis
- 7Carlos Vicente
- 26B. Osayi-Samuel
- 4C. Klarer
- 5P. Neumann
- 20A. Cochrane
- 1J. Beadle
West Ham
4-4-1-1- 9J. Piroe
- 7A. Engels
- 20J. Bowen
- 10M. Solomon
- 14D. Mukasa
- 19Pablo
- 3M. Kilman
- 15K. Mavropanos
- 5Morato
- 34J. Veltman
- 1M. Hermansen
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:18 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Birmingham have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; West Ham have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Preston(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | West Brom(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Derby(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Lincoln(away) | 6-0 | Championship |
| Oct 9, 2026 | QPR(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 2-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Wrexham(home) | 6-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Birmingham win, 3 draws, 1 West Ham win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2019 | West Ham 2-0 Birmingham | FA Cup |
| Apr 9, 2012 | West Ham 3-3 Birmingham | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2011 | Birmingham 1-1 West Ham | Championship |
| Feb 6, 2011 | West Ham 0-1 Birmingham | Premier League |
| Nov 6, 2010 | Birmingham 2-2 West Ham | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: West Ham vs Birmingham on Jan 5, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Birmingham score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; West Ham score 2.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| West Ham | 2.6 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Birmingham sit 4th in Championship (17 points from 10 matches) and West Ham sit 3rd (19 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 12 | 19 |
| 4 | Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 17 |
A question about Birmingham vs West Ham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Birmingham vs West Ham?
- The Footlab AI model makes West Ham the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Birmingham.
- Where and when is Birmingham vs West Ham played?
- Birmingham vs West Ham is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at St Andrew's Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.