West Ham vs Norwich: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)London Stadium, London
The Footlab model makes West Ham the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Norwich. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win West Ham vs Norwich?
West Ham starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (2,074 vs 1,910).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, West Ham have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Norwich have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Burnley(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1. FC Magdeburg(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | West Brom(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 4-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Cambridge United(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Osasuna(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 West Ham win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Norwich win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2022 | Norwich 0-4 West Ham | Premier League |
| Jan 12, 2022 | West Ham 2-0 Norwich | Premier League |
| Jul 11, 2020 | Norwich 0-4 West Ham | Premier League |
| Aug 31, 2019 | West Ham 2-0 Norwich | Premier League |
| Feb 13, 2016 | Norwich 2-2 West Ham | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2015 | West Ham 2-2 Norwich | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
West Ham score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Norwich score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Norwich | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
West Ham sit 17th in Championship (1 points from 2 matches) and Norwich sit 23rd (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | West Ham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 23 | Norwich | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for West Ham vs Norwich?
- The Footlab model makes West Ham the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Norwich.
- Where and when is West Ham vs Norwich played?
- West Ham vs Norwich is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at London Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.