Watford vs Bolton: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Vicarage Road, Watford
The Footlab AI model makes Bolton the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Watford. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bolton wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Watford vs Bolton?
Bolton starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (1,952 vs 1,801).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Watford vs Bolton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Watford
4-2-3-1- 9L. Kjerrumgaard
- 5H. Kyprianou
- 39E. Kayembe
- 17Iker Bravo
- 20M. Doumbia
- 7O. Maamma
- 6M. Pollock
- 4K. Keben
- 3S. Coulibaly
- 23O. Traoré
- 1F. Ravaglia
Bolton
4-2-3-1- 10S. Dalby
- 8J. Sheehan
- 22Gaizka Larrazabal
- 11T. Gale
- 17A. Ito
- 21E. Erhahon
- 18E. Toal
- 14A. Famewo
- 5L. Brunt
- 27Luca Stephenson
- 31G. Bazunu
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 02:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Watford have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Bolton have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Cardiff(away) | 1-5 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Burnley(home) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Stoke City(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Southampton(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Wolves(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stoke City(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 4-3 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cardiff(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Watford wins, 0 draws, 3 Bolton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2022 | Watford 0-2 Bolton | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 14, 2015 | Bolton 3-4 Watford | Championship |
| Aug 9, 2014 | Watford 3-0 Bolton | Championship |
| Feb 22, 2014 | Bolton 2-0 Watford | Championship |
| Nov 23, 2013 | Watford 0-1 Bolton | Championship |
| Feb 2, 2013 | Watford 2-1 Bolton | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Watford score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bolton score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Bolton | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Watford sit 20th in Championship (11 points from 11 matches) and Bolton sit 15th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bolton | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 14 |
| 20 | Watford | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 11 |
A question about Watford vs Bolton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Watford vs Bolton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bolton the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Watford.
- Where and when is Watford vs Bolton played?
- Watford vs Bolton is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Vicarage Road, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.