Where and when is Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Noteć Czarnków played?

Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Noteć Czarnków is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Czesława Kobusa, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Noteć Czarnków: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Czesława Kobusa, Bydgoszcz

Chemik Bydgoszcz

Noteć Czarnków

The Footlab model makes Noteć Czarnków the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Chemik Bydgoszcz. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Noteć Czarnków?

A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Chemik Bydgoszcz (1,724) and Noteć Czarnków (1,791).

Chemik Bydgoszcz win35 %

Draw25 %

Noteć Czarnków win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Chemik Bydgoszcz have 5 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Noteć Czarnków have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chemik Bydgoszcz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Flota Świnoujście(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Luzino(away)	1-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Polonia Środa(home)	1-4	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Lech Poznań II(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Kluczevia Stargard(home)	3-3	III Liga - Group 2

Noteć Czarnków
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Elana Toruń(home)	3-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Kalisz(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Unia Swarzędz(away)	3-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 2
Jul 31, 2026	Gedania Gdansk(away)	3-5	III Liga - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Chemik Bydgoszcz score 2.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 13; Noteć Czarnków score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chemik Bydgoszcz	2.2	1.8	2	10/13	9/13
Noteć Czarnków	1.7	1.3	4	7/15	9/15

Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chemik Bydgoszcz sit 15th in III Liga - Group 2 (3 points from 5 matches) and Noteć Czarnków sit 7th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Noteć Czarnków	5	3	0	2	10	8	9
15	Chemik Bydgoszcz	5	0	3	2	7	12	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Noteć Czarnków?: The Footlab model makes Noteć Czarnków the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Chemik Bydgoszcz.
Where and when is Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Noteć Czarnków played?: Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Noteć Czarnków is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Czesława Kobusa, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.