Notts County vs Stockport County: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Meadow Lane, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
The Footlab AI model makes Stockport County the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Notts County. The most likely score is 1-1. If Stockport County wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,920 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Notts County vs Stockport County?
Stockport County starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (2,034 vs 1,910).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Notts County vs Stockport County
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Notts County
3-4-2-1- 9D. Kanu
- 25N. Tsaroulla
- 27R. Finneran
- 26I. Samuels-Smith
- 11C. Grant
- 19L. Smyth
- 7C. Roberts
- 12L. Ness
- 4J. Bedeau
- 3R. McDonald
- 1J. Gibbons
Stockport County
3-4-3- 19K. Wootton
- 7J. Diamond
- 16H. Wood
- 10O. Norwood
- 4L. Bate
- 23B. Osborn
- 15R. Glover
- 6E. O'Connell
- 5E. Pye
- 25M. Jobe
- 1Oliver Whatmuff
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 05:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Notts County have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Stockport County have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Nottingham Forest U21(home) | 5-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Doncaster(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bromley(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Barnsley(home) | 3-1 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 2-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Peterborough(home) | 1-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Notts County wins, 1 draw, 3 Stockport County wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | Notts County 2-5 Stockport County | League Two |
| Dec 22, 2023 | Stockport County 2-1 Notts County | League Two |
| Mar 15, 2022 | Stockport County 3-0 Notts County | National League |
| Oct 23, 2021 | Notts County 2-1 Stockport County | National League |
| Feb 23, 2021 | Stockport County 0-0 Notts County | National League |
| Jan 16, 2021 | Stockport County 1-2 Notts County | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Notts County vs Stockport County on Apr 16, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Notts County score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Stockport County score 2.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County | 1.2 | 1.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Stockport County | 2.2 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Notts County sit 18th in League One (10 points from 10 matches) and Stockport County sit 1st (22 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stockport County | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 22 |
| 18 | Notts County | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 10 |
A question about Notts County vs Stockport County?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Notts County vs Stockport County?
- The Footlab AI model makes Stockport County the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Notts County.
- Where and when is Notts County vs Stockport County played?
- Notts County vs Stockport County is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Meadow Lane, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.