Notts County vs Stockport County: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Meadow Lane, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
The Footlab model makes Stockport County the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Notts County. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Notts County vs Stockport County?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Notts County (1,826) and Stockport County (1,924).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Notts County have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Stockport County have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Luton(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leicester(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Burnley(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Walsall(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Blackpool(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Everton U21(home) | 6-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Plymouth(away) | 3-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Preston(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Notts County win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Stockport County win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | Notts County 2-5 Stockport County | League Two |
| Dec 22, 2023 | Stockport County 2-1 Notts County | League Two |
| Mar 15, 2022 | Stockport County 3-0 Notts County | National League |
| Oct 23, 2021 | Notts County 2-1 Stockport County | National League |
| Feb 23, 2021 | Stockport County 0-0 Notts County | National League |
| Jan 16, 2021 | Stockport County 1-2 Notts County | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Notts County vs Stockport County on Apr 16, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Notts County score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Stockport County score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Stockport County | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Notts County sit 15th in League One (2 points from 2 matches) and Stockport County sit 9th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Stockport County | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | Notts County | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Notts County vs Stockport County?
- The Footlab model makes Stockport County the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Notts County.
- Where and when is Notts County vs Stockport County played?
- Notts County vs Stockport County is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Meadow Lane, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.