Novara vs Arzignano Valchiampo: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 30Kick-off on March 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Silvio Piola, Novara
The Footlab AI model makes Arzignano Valchiampo the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Novara. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arzignano Valchiampo wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,484 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Novara vs Arzignano Valchiampo?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Novara (1,776) and Arzignano Valchiampo (1,841).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Novara vs Arzignano Valchiampo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Novara
4-3-3- 14M. Romano
- 9D. Zuppel
- 20M. Da Graca
- 99G. Basso
- 19R. Collodel
- 23E. Zambataro
- 28A. Cannavaro
- 70A. Valdesi
- 15O. Khailoti
- 5F. Lorenzini
- 33F. Brancolini
Arzignano Valchiampo
4-3-3- 16M. Moretti
- 2M. J. Fosu
- 9A. Mattioli
- 6E. Lakti
- 30C. Gatti
- 11M. Penta
- 57A. Milillo
- 31E. De Santis
- 13F. Cariolato
- 23E. Bernardi
- 1T. Vannucchi
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 01:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Novara have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Arzignano Valchiampo have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Arzignano Valchiampo(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Albinoleffe(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cittadella(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Dolomiti Bellunesi(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Lumezzane(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Novara(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Juventus U23(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pergolettese(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Novara wins, 2 draws, 1 Arzignano Valchiampo win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Arzignano Valchiampo 2-0 Novara | Serie C - Girone A |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Arzignano Valchiampo 1-1 Novara | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Novara 1-0 Arzignano Valchiampo | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Novara 1-0 Arzignano Valchiampo | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Arzignano Valchiampo 0-2 Novara | Serie C - Girone A |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Arzignano Valchiampo 0-0 Novara | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara on Oct 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Novara score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Arzignano Valchiampo score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novara | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Arzignano Valchiampo | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Novara sit 13th in Serie C - Girone A (13 points from 12 matches) and Arzignano Valchiampo sit 4th (21 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Arzignano Valchiampo | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 21 |
| 13 | Novara | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 13 |
A question about Novara vs Arzignano Valchiampo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Novara vs Arzignano Valchiampo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arzignano Valchiampo the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Novara.
- Where and when is Novara vs Arzignano Valchiampo played?
- Novara vs Arzignano Valchiampo is played on March 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Silvio Piola, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.