Match

Pergolettese vs Novara: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 23Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Voltini, Crema

PergoletteseNovara

The Footlab AI model makes Novara the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Pergolettese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Novara wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,993 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pergolettese vs Novara?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Pergolettese (1,776) and Novara (1,793).

31%32%37%
Pergolettese winDrawNovara win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Pergolettese vs Novara

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Pergolettese

4-3-3
  1. 10D. Ferrandino
  2. 49E. Zaia
  3. 7A. Pala
  1. 20M. Tremolada
  2. 4M. Arini
  3. 30A. Berretta
  1. 5T. Silvestri
  2. 76L. Roversi
  3. 15C. Dell'Orco
  4. 73E. Bassi
  1. 22F. Doldi

Novara

4-3-3
  1. 14M. Romano
  2. 20M. Da Graca
  3. 9D. Zuppel
  1. 99G. Basso
  2. 19R. Collodel
  3. 23E. Zambataro
  1. 28A. Cannavaro
  2. 70A. Valdesi
  3. 15O. Khailoti
  4. 5F. Lorenzini
  1. 33F. Brancolini

Computed on October 22, 2026 at 11:06 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pergolettese have 4 wins, 9 draws and 2 defeats; Novara have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pergolettese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Ospitaletto(away)3-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 10, 2026Athletic Carpi(home)2-1Serie C - Girone A
Oct 3, 2026Arzignano Valchiampo(away)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 26, 2026Trento(home)0-0Serie C - Girone A
Sep 20, 2026Lecco(away)0-0Serie C - Girone A
Novara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Albinoleffe(away)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 10, 2026Cittadella(home)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 4, 2026Dolomiti Bellunesi(away)2-1Serie C - Girone A
Sep 26, 2026Ospitaletto(home)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 20, 2026Athletic Carpi(home)2-2Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Pergolettese win, 3 draws, 2 Novara wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 13, 2026Novara 0-1 PergoletteseSerie C - Girone A
Mar 7, 2026Novara 1-1 PergoletteseSerie C - Girone A
Nov 1, 2025Pergolettese 2-2 NovaraSerie C - Girone A
Feb 15, 2025Pergolettese 1-2 NovaraSerie C - Girone A
Oct 5, 2024Novara 3-1 PergoletteseSerie C - Girone A
Mar 24, 2024Pergolettese 1-1 NovaraSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Novara vs Pergolettese on Sep 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pergolettese score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Novara score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pergolettese0.90.785/155/15
Novara1.11.147/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pergolettese sit 8th in Serie C - Girone A (14 points from 10 matches) and Novara sit 13th (10 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Pergolettese103528814
13Novara10244101410

A question about Pergolettese vs Novara?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pergolettese vs Novara?
The Footlab AI model makes Novara the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Pergolettese.
Where and when is Pergolettese vs Novara played?
Pergolettese vs Novara is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Voltini, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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