Union Brescia vs Lumezzane: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 19Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Mario Rigamonti, Brescia
The Footlab AI model makes Union Brescia the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Lumezzane. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,738 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Brescia vs Lumezzane?
Union Brescia starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (1,931 vs 1,777).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Union Brescia vs Lumezzane
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Union Brescia
4-3-3- 9V. Crespi
- 91A. Spagnoli
- 30J. Pellegrini
- 25A. Rizzo Pinna
- 6A. Mercati
- 8D. Balestrero
- 28L. Silvestri
- 15T. Casasola
- 24B. Boci
- 95S. Sina
- 43G. Zacchi
Lumezzane
4-3-3- 32G. Anatriello
- 9T. Ebone
- 77S. Diodato
- 19M. Rolando
- 17Sasha Mancini
- 8M. Rocca
- 30A. Boffelli
- 90S. Nwachukwu
- 21J. Deratti
- 15M. Ndiaye
- 13L. Andrenacci
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 08:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Brescia have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Lumezzane have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Cittadella(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Giana Erminio(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 9, 2026 | PRO Vercelli(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lecco(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Dolomiti Bellunesi(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Pergolettese(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Athletic Carpi(away) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Juventus U23(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Albinoleffe(home) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Inter(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Union Brescia wins, 0 draws, 2 Lumezzane wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Lumezzane 1-0 Union Brescia | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Union Brescia 0-1 Lumezzane | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Lumezzane vs Union Brescia on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union Brescia score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lumezzane score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Brescia | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Lumezzane | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Brescia sit 3rd in Serie C - Girone A (22 points from 11 matches) and Lumezzane sit 12th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Union Brescia | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 22 |
| 12 | Lumezzane | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 12 |
A question about Union Brescia vs Lumezzane?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Brescia vs Lumezzane?
- The Footlab AI model makes Union Brescia the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Lumezzane.
- Where and when is Union Brescia vs Lumezzane played?
- Union Brescia vs Lumezzane is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Mario Rigamonti, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.