Union Brescia vs Lumezzane: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 19Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Mario Rigamonti, Brescia
The Footlab model makes Union Brescia the favourite at 44%, against 31% for a draw and 25% for Lumezzane. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Brescia vs Lumezzane?
Union Brescia starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,864 vs 1,752).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Brescia have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Lumezzane have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Athletic Carpi(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Arezzo(away) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pro Palazzolo(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 0-3 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ospitaletto(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Renate(home) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 6, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Alcione(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Union Brescia win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Lumezzane win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Lumezzane 1-0 Union Brescia | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Union Brescia 0-1 Lumezzane | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Lumezzane vs Union Brescia on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union Brescia score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Lumezzane score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Brescia | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Lumezzane | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Brescia sit 2nd in Serie C - Girone A (3 points from 1 matches) and Lumezzane sit 19th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Union Brescia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 19 | Lumezzane | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Brescia vs Lumezzane?
- The Footlab model makes Union Brescia the favourite at 44%, against 31% for a draw and 25% for Lumezzane.
- Where and when is Union Brescia vs Lumezzane played?
- Union Brescia vs Lumezzane is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Mario Rigamonti, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.