Where and when is Calvo Sotelo vs Numancia played?

Calvo Sotelo vs Numancia is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Puertollano, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Calvo Sotelo vs Numancia: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 29Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ciudad de Puertollano, Puertollano

Calvo Sotelo

Numancia

The Footlab model makes Calvo Sotelo the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Numancia. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Calvo Sotelo vs Numancia?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Calvo Sotelo (1,941) and Numancia (1,946).

Calvo Sotelo win45 %

Draw28 %

Numancia win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Calvo Sotelo have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Numancia have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Calvo Sotelo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	La Solana(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
May 3, 2026	Toledo(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Apr 26, 2026	Cazalegas(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Apr 19, 2026	Huracán Balazote(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Apr 12, 2026	Guadalajara II(home)	4-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18

Numancia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Zaragoza(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026	Poblense(away)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026	Poblense(home)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026	Marino de Luanco(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	Langreo(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Calvo Sotelo score 1.7 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Numancia score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Calvo Sotelo	1.7	0.6	8	7/15	6/15
Numancia	1.3	0.9	4	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Calvo Sotelo vs Numancia?: The Footlab model makes Calvo Sotelo the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Numancia.
Where and when is Calvo Sotelo vs Numancia played?: Calvo Sotelo vs Numancia is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Puertollano, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.