Where and when is Zagłębie Lubin II vs Górnik Polkowice played?

Zagłębie Lubin II vs Górnik Polkowice is played on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at KGHM Zagłębie Arena, in the III Liga - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Zagłębie Lubin II vs Górnik Polkowice: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 11Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)KGHM Zagłębie Arena, Lubin

Zagłębie Lubin II

Górnik Polkowice

The Footlab model makes Zagłębie Lubin II the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Górnik Polkowice. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Zagłębie Lubin II vs Górnik Polkowice?

A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Zagłębie Lubin II (1,774) and Górnik Polkowice (1,839).

Zagłębie Lubin II win41 %

Draw23 %

Górnik Polkowice win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zagłębie Lubin II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Górnik Polkowice have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Zagłębie Lubin II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Miedź Legnica II(home)	3-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Kluczbork(away)	3-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 16, 2026	Rakow II(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026	Polonia Nysa(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026	Sparta Katowice(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 3

Górnik Polkowice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Warta Gorzów(away)	0-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026	Miedź Legnica II(home)	3-3	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026	Kluczbork(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 3
Jul 31, 2026	Rakow II(home)	5-4	III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Zagłębie Lubin II win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Górnik Polkowice win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 8, 2026	Zagłębie Lubin II 0-2 Górnik Polkowice	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 22, 2025	Górnik Polkowice 3-1 Zagłębie Lubin II	III Liga - Group 3
Jul 16, 2025	Górnik Polkowice 2-0 Zagłębie Lubin II	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 6, 2024	Zagłębie Lubin II 2-3 Górnik Polkowice	Friendlies Clubs
Jan 13, 2024	Górnik Polkowice 4-2 Zagłębie Lubin II	Friendlies Clubs
May 20, 2023	Zagłębie Lubin II 1-1 Górnik Polkowice	II Liga - East

Last archived meeting: Zagłębie Lubin II vs Górnik Polkowice on Mar 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Zagłębie Lubin II score 1.7 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Górnik Polkowice score 2.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Zagłębie Lubin II	1.7	2.0	2	10/15	13/15
Górnik Polkowice	2.3	2.1	3	11/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Zagłębie Lubin II sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 3 (11 points from 5 matches) and Górnik Polkowice sit 9th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Zagłębie Lubin II	5	3	2	0	11	7	11
9	Górnik Polkowice	5	2	2	1	11	10	8

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Zagłębie Lubin II vs Górnik Polkowice?: The Footlab model makes Zagłębie Lubin II the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Górnik Polkowice.
Where and when is Zagłębie Lubin II vs Górnik Polkowice played?: Zagłębie Lubin II vs Górnik Polkowice is played on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at KGHM Zagłębie Arena, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.