Ślęza Wrocław vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 11Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Kompleks Piłkarski 1KS Ślęza Wrocław, Wrocław
The Footlab model makes Ślęza Wrocław the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ślęza Wrocław vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Ślęza Wrocław (1,730) and Karkonosze Jelenia Góra (1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ślęza Wrocław have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Karkonosze Jelenia Góra have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Stal Brzeg(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stilon Gorzów(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Górnik Polkowice(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Barycz Sułów(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Carina Gubin(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ślęza Wrocław win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław 1-0 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 1-1 Ślęza Wrocław | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Ślęza Wrocław 0-0 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Ślęza Wrocław 2-1 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 1-0 Ślęza Wrocław | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Ślęza Wrocław 3-0 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Ślęza Wrocław vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra on Feb 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ślęza Wrocław score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Karkonosze Jelenia Góra score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ślęza Wrocław | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ślęza Wrocław sit 16th in III Liga - Group 3 (3 points from 5 matches) and Karkonosze Jelenia Góra sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 8 |
| 16 | Ślęza Wrocław | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ślęza Wrocław vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?
- The Footlab model makes Ślęza Wrocław the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra.
- Where and when is Ślęza Wrocław vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra played?
- Ślęza Wrocław vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra is played on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Kompleks Piłkarski 1KS Ślęza Wrocław, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026SKRA CzęstochowavsMiedź Legnica II
- Oct 3, 2026Stal BrzegvsCarina Gubin
- Oct 3, 2026Stilon GorzówvsBarycz Sułów
- Oct 3, 2026Zagłębie Lubin IIvsGórnik Polkowice
- Oct 3, 2026Goczałkowice ZdrójvsROW Rybnik
- Oct 3, 2026Odra Bytom OdrzańskivsZaglebie Sosnowiec
- Oct 3, 2026Sparta KatowicevsWarta Gorzów
- Oct 3, 2026SłowianinvsKluczbork