Stilon Gorzów vs Barycz Sułów: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 11Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, Gorzów Wielkopolski
The Footlab model makes Stilon Gorzów the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Barycz Sułów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stilon Gorzów vs Barycz Sułów?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Stilon Gorzów (1,722) and Barycz Sułów (1,754).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stilon Gorzów have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Barycz Sułów have 5, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kluczbork(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rakow II(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kluczbork(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Stilon Gorzów score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Barycz Sułów score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stilon Gorzów | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Barycz Sułów | 1.6 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/10 | 7/10 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stilon Gorzów sit 11th in III Liga - Group 3 (7 points from 5 matches) and Barycz Sułów sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Barycz Sułów | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 10 |
| 11 | Stilon Gorzów | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stilon Gorzów vs Barycz Sułów?
- The Footlab model makes Stilon Gorzów the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Barycz Sułów.
- Where and when is Stilon Gorzów vs Barycz Sułów played?
- Stilon Gorzów vs Barycz Sułów is played on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026SKRA CzęstochowavsMiedź Legnica II
- Oct 3, 2026Stal BrzegvsCarina Gubin
- Oct 3, 2026Zagłębie Lubin IIvsGórnik Polkowice
- Oct 3, 2026Ślęza WrocławvsKarkonosze Jelenia Góra
- Oct 3, 2026Goczałkowice ZdrójvsROW Rybnik
- Oct 3, 2026Odra Bytom OdrzańskivsZaglebie Sosnowiec
- Oct 3, 2026Sparta KatowicevsWarta Gorzów
- Oct 3, 2026SłowianinvsKluczbork