Where and when is Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen played?

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen is played on November 28, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

Bayer Leverkusen

The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Bayer Leverkusen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Borussia Dortmund (2,290) and Bayer Leverkusen (2,282).

Borussia Dortmund win44 %

Draw23 %

Bayer Leverkusen win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Dortmund have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Bayer Leverkusen have 10, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Borussia Dortmund
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Bayern München(home)	1-2	Super Cup
Aug 15, 2026	AS Roma(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 9, 2026	Arsenal(away)	3-2	Emirates Cup
Aug 1, 2026	FC Tokyo(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

Bayer Leverkusen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SV Wehen(away)	4-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Newcastle(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 12, 2026	Nottingham Forest(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Sevilla(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Borussia Dortmund win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Bayer Leverkusen win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 11, 2026	Borussia Dortmund 0-1 Bayer Leverkusen	Bundesliga
Dec 2, 2025	Borussia Dortmund 0-1 Bayer Leverkusen	DFB Pokal
Nov 29, 2025	Bayer Leverkusen 1-2 Borussia Dortmund	Bundesliga
May 11, 2025	Bayer Leverkusen 2-4 Borussia Dortmund	Bundesliga
Jan 10, 2025	Borussia Dortmund 2-3 Bayer Leverkusen	Bundesliga
Apr 21, 2024	Borussia Dortmund 1-1 Bayer Leverkusen	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Borussia Dortmund score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bayer Leverkusen score 2.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Borussia Dortmund	1.7	1.2	4	8/15	9/15
Bayer Leverkusen	2.4	1.0	5	9/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd in Bundesliga (73 points from 34 matches) and Bayer Leverkusen sit 6th (59 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	22	7	5	70	34	73
6	Bayer Leverkusen	34	17	8	9	68	47	59

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen?: The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Bayer Leverkusen.
Where and when is Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen played?: Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen is played on November 28, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.