Match

Oldham vs Cheltenham: prediction and stats

League TwoRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Boundary Park, Oldham, Greater Manchester

OldhamCheltenham

The Footlab AI model makes Oldham the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Cheltenham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oldham wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Oldham vs Cheltenham?

A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Oldham (1,817) and Cheltenham (1,775).

48%28%24%
Oldham winDrawCheltenham win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Oldham vs Cheltenham

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Oldham

3-4-2-1
  1. 10C. Kavanagh
  1. 8O. Norburn
  2. 3J. Robson
  3. 7K. Appiah-Forson
  4. 2G. Scott-Morriss
  5. 4T. Pett
  6. 14N. Chilvers
  1. 24L. Temple
  2. 6E. Monthe
  3. 5D. Daniels
  1. 1M. Hudson

Cheltenham

4-1-4-1
  1. 18A. Weimann
  1. 7B. Stevenson
  2. 19J. Evans
  3. 26J. Shipley
  4. 14R. Broom
  5. 8C. McCann
  1. 3J. Tomkinson
  2. 25P. Sweeney
  3. 5R. Cundy
  4. 6J. Wilson
  1. 23W. Stanway

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:45 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oldham have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Cheltenham have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Oldham
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Leeds United U21(home)4-2EFL Trophy
Oct 10, 2026Accrington ST(home)0-0League Two
Sep 26, 2026Salford City(home)1-4League Two
Sep 22, 2026Fleetwood Town(home)1-0EFL Trophy
Sep 19, 2026Rochdale(away)0-2League Two
Cheltenham
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Tottenham Hotspur U21(home)2-2EFL Trophy
Oct 10, 2026Salford City(home)0-2League Two
Oct 3, 2026Accrington ST(away)0-2League Two
Sep 26, 2026Chesterfield(home)2-1League Two
Sep 22, 2026Exeter City(home)2-2EFL Trophy

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Oldham wins, 1 draw, 2 Cheltenham wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 17, 2026Oldham 2-1 CheltenhamLeague Two
Sep 20, 2025Cheltenham 0-3 OldhamLeague Two
Jan 26, 2021Cheltenham 2-0 OldhamLeague Two
Nov 3, 2020Oldham 2-1 CheltenhamLeague Two
Jan 4, 2020Cheltenham 3-0 OldhamLeague Two
Oct 5, 2019Oldham 1-1 CheltenhamLeague Two

Last archived meeting: Oldham vs Cheltenham on Jan 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Oldham score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Cheltenham score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Oldham1.31.456/157/15
Cheltenham1.61.7111/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Oldham sit 21st in League Two (8 points from 9 matches) and Cheltenham sit 8th (15 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Cheltenham10433161615
21Oldham92259138

A question about Oldham vs Cheltenham?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Oldham vs Cheltenham?
The Footlab AI model makes Oldham the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Cheltenham.
Where and when is Oldham vs Cheltenham played?
Oldham vs Cheltenham is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Boundary Park, in the League Two.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Oldham and Cheltenham

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