Olimpia Elbląg vs Olimpia Zambrów: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 20Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Elbląg
The Footlab model makes Olimpia Zambrów the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Olimpia Elbląg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olimpia Elbląg vs Olimpia Zambrów?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Olimpia Elbląg (1,635) and Olimpia Zambrów (1,703).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olimpia Elbląg have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Olimpia Zambrów have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Widzew II(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(home) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Swit(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(home) | 5-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Olimpia Elbląg win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Olimpia Zambrów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów 1-2 Olimpia Elbląg | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Olimpia Zambrów vs Olimpia Elbląg on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Olimpia Elbląg score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Olimpia Zambrów score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olimpia Elbląg | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Olimpia Zambrów | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olimpia Elbląg sit 11th in III Liga - Group 1 (7 points from 5 matches) and Olimpia Zambrów sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Olimpia Zambrów | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 9 |
| 11 | Olimpia Elbląg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olimpia Elbląg vs Olimpia Zambrów?
- The Footlab model makes Olimpia Zambrów the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Olimpia Elbląg.
- Where and when is Olimpia Elbląg vs Olimpia Zambrów played?
- Olimpia Elbląg vs Olimpia Zambrów is played on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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