Match

Olimpia Elbląg vs Olimpia Zambrów: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 20Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Elbląg

Olimpia ElblągOlimpia Zambrów

The Footlab model makes Olimpia Zambrów the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Olimpia Elbląg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Olimpia Elbląg vs Olimpia Zambrów?

A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Olimpia Elbląg (1,635) and Olimpia Zambrów (1,703).

Olimpia Elbląg win35 %
Draw23 %
Olimpia Zambrów win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olimpia Elbląg have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Olimpia Zambrów have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Olimpia Elbląg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away)2-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Widzew II(home)0-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026Olimpia Zambrów(away)2-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home)4-2III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026Wisła Płock II(home)1-2III Liga - Group 1
Olimpia Zambrów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Wisła Płock II(home)4-3III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away)3-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026Olimpia Elbląg(home)1-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026Swit(away)0-4III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026Ząbkovia Ząbki(home)5-0III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Olimpia Elbląg win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Olimpia Zambrów win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Olimpia Zambrów 1-2 Olimpia ElblągIII Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Olimpia Zambrów vs Olimpia Elbląg on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Olimpia Elbląg score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Olimpia Zambrów score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Olimpia Elbląg1.11.9111/1510/15
Olimpia Zambrów1.91.928/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Olimpia Elbląg sit 11th in III Liga - Group 1 (7 points from 5 matches) and Olimpia Zambrów sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Olimpia Zambrów530213119
11Olimpia Elbląg5212997

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Olimpia Elbląg vs Olimpia Zambrów?
The Footlab model makes Olimpia Zambrów the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Olimpia Elbląg.
Where and when is Olimpia Elbląg vs Olimpia Zambrów played?
Olimpia Elbląg vs Olimpia Zambrów is played on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Olimpia Elbląg and Olimpia Zambrów

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