Swit vs Widzew II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 20Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
The Footlab model makes Widzew II the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Swit. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Swit vs Widzew II?
Widzew II starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,800 vs 1,689).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swit have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Widzew II have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Widzew II(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Swit(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Swit win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Widzew II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Widzew II 0-0 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Swit 1-0 Widzew II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Widzew II 5-0 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Swit score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Widzew II score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swit | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Widzew II | 2.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Swit sit 10th in III Liga - Group 1 (7 points from 4 matches) and Widzew II sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Widzew II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 | Swit | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Swit vs Widzew II?
- The Footlab model makes Widzew II the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Swit.
- Where and when is Swit vs Widzew II played?
- Swit vs Widzew II is played on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 27, 2027Olimpia ElblągvsOlimpia Zambrów
- Feb 27, 2027Jagiellonia IIvsWarta Sieradz
- Feb 27, 2027ŁKS Łódź IIvsPelikan Łowicz
- Feb 27, 2027Mławianka MławavsWeszlo
- Feb 27, 2027ŁomżavsLechia T. Mazowiecki
- Feb 27, 2027Wisła Płock IIvsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Feb 27, 2027TroszynvsWigry Suwałki
- Feb 27, 2027Ząbkovia ZąbkivsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki