Where and when is Jagiellonia II vs Warta Sieradz played?

Jagiellonia II vs Warta Sieradz is played on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ośrodek Szkoleniowy Jagiellonii Białystok, in the III Liga - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Jagiellonia II vs Warta Sieradz: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 20Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ośrodek Szkoleniowy Jagiellonii Białystok, Białystok

Jagiellonia II

Warta Sieradz

The Footlab model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Jagiellonia II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Jagiellonia II vs Warta Sieradz?

A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Jagiellonia II (1,773) and Warta Sieradz (1,847).

Jagiellonia II win32 %

Draw25 %

Warta Sieradz win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jagiellonia II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Warta Sieradz have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Jagiellonia II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Weszlo(away)	0-4	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Pelikan Łowicz(home)	3-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026	Warta Sieradz(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026	Wigry Suwałki(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 1

Warta Sieradz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Ząbkovia Ząbki(home)	0-4	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Troszyn(away)	4-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026	Jagiellonia II(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 9, 2026	ŁKS Łódź II(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026	Mławianka Mława(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Jagiellonia II win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Warta Sieradz win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Warta Sieradz 2-2 Jagiellonia II	III Liga - Group 1
Apr 30, 2026	Warta Sieradz 3-3 Jagiellonia II	III Liga - Group 1
Oct 11, 2025	Jagiellonia II 0-2 Warta Sieradz	III Liga - Group 1
Apr 13, 2025	Jagiellonia II 1-1 Warta Sieradz	III Liga - Group 1
Sep 14, 2024	Warta Sieradz 2-1 Jagiellonia II	III Liga - Group 1
Apr 27, 2024	Jagiellonia II 2-0 Warta Sieradz	III Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Jagiellonia II score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Sieradz score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Jagiellonia II	1.6	1.7	3	9/15	9/15
Warta Sieradz	1.9	1.1	5	9/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Jagiellonia II sit 9th in III Liga - Group 1 (8 points from 5 matches) and Warta Sieradz sit 12th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Jagiellonia II	5	2	2	1	9	9	8
12	Warta Sieradz	5	2	1	2	8	9	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Jagiellonia II vs Warta Sieradz?: The Footlab model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Jagiellonia II.
Where and when is Jagiellonia II vs Warta Sieradz played?: Jagiellonia II vs Warta Sieradz is played on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ośrodek Szkoleniowy Jagiellonii Białystok, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.