Mławianka Mława vs Weszlo: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 20Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR Mlawa, Mlawa
The Footlab model makes Weszlo the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Mławianka Mława. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mławianka Mława vs Weszlo?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Mławianka Mława (1,716) and Weszlo (1,798).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mławianka Mława have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Weszlo have 5, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Łomża(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Łomża(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Mławianka Mława win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Weszlo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Weszlo 5-1 Mławianka Mława | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Weszlo vs Mławianka Mława on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mławianka Mława score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Weszlo score 2.8 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mławianka Mława | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Weszlo | 2.8 | 0.4 | 3 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mławianka Mława sit 14th in III Liga - Group 1 (4 points from 5 matches) and Weszlo sit 1st (15 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weszlo | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 15 |
| 14 | Mławianka Mława | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mławianka Mława vs Weszlo?
- The Footlab model makes Weszlo the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Mławianka Mława.
- Where and when is Mławianka Mława vs Weszlo played?
- Mławianka Mława vs Weszlo is played on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR Mlawa, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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