Wisła Płock II vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 20Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Bernarda Szymańskiego, Płock
The Footlab model makes Wisła Płock II the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Polonia Lidzbark Warm.. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wisła Płock II vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Wisła Płock II (1,762) and Polonia Lidzbark Warm. (1,666).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wisła Płock II have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Polonia Lidzbark Warm. have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(away) | 3-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Widzew II(away) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Swit(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Wisła Płock II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Polonia Lidzbark Warm. win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm. 1-1 Wisła Płock II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2025 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm. 2-1 Wisła Płock II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Wisła Płock II 2-1 Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Wisła Płock II on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wisła Płock II score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Lidzbark Warm. score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisła Płock II | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wisła Płock II sit 9th in III Liga - Group 1 (8 points from 5 matches) and Polonia Lidzbark Warm. sit 16th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wisła Płock II | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| 16 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wisła Płock II vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?
- The Footlab model makes Wisła Płock II the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Polonia Lidzbark Warm..
- Where and when is Wisła Płock II vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. played?
- Wisła Płock II vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. is played on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Bernarda Szymańskiego, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 27, 2027Olimpia ElblągvsOlimpia Zambrów
- Feb 27, 2027SwitvsWidzew II
- Feb 27, 2027Jagiellonia IIvsWarta Sieradz
- Feb 27, 2027ŁKS Łódź IIvsPelikan Łowicz
- Feb 27, 2027Mławianka MławavsWeszlo
- Feb 27, 2027ŁomżavsLechia T. Mazowiecki
- Feb 27, 2027TroszynvsWigry Suwałki
- Feb 27, 2027Ząbkovia ZąbkivsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki