Łomża vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 20Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Łomża
The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Lechia T. Mazowiecki. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Łomża vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Łomża (1,842) and Lechia T. Mazowiecki (1,757).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Łomża have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Lechia T. Mazowiecki have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(away) | 2-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Weszlo(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 5-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Łomża win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Lechia T. Mazowiecki win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki 5-2 Łomża | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Łomża 1-1 Lechia T. Mazowiecki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1-1 Łomża | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Łomża 6-0 Lechia T. Mazowiecki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki 4-4 Łomża | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1-1 Łomża | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Łomża on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Łomża score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lechia T. Mazowiecki score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Łomża | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Łomża sit 15th in III Liga - Group 1 (2 points from 5 matches) and Lechia T. Mazowiecki sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 9 |
| 15 | Łomża | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Łomża vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki?
- The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Lechia T. Mazowiecki.
- Where and when is Łomża vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki played?
- Łomża vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki is played on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Feb 27, 2027SwitvsWidzew II
- Feb 27, 2027Jagiellonia IIvsWarta Sieradz
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- Feb 27, 2027Mławianka MławavsWeszlo
- Feb 27, 2027Wisła Płock IIvsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Feb 27, 2027TroszynvsWigry Suwałki
- Feb 27, 2027Ząbkovia ZąbkivsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki