Olímpico Totana vs UCAM Murcia II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Cayuela, Totana
The Footlab model makes UCAM Murcia II the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Olímpico Totana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olímpico Totana vs UCAM Murcia II?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Olímpico Totana (1,795) and UCAM Murcia II (1,844).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olímpico Totana have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; UCAM Murcia II have 6, 8 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Real Murcia II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 31, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 24, 2026 | Unión Molinense(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 17, 2026 | Unión Molinense(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 10, 2026 | Santomera(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Muleño(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | El Palmar(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Olímpico Totana win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 UCAM Murcia II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Olímpico Totana 2-2 UCAM Murcia II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | UCAM Murcia II 1-0 Olímpico Totana | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Mar 21, 2021 | UCAM Murcia II 1-0 Olímpico Totana | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Dec 20, 2020 | Olímpico Totana 0-2 UCAM Murcia II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Dec 8, 2019 | UCAM Murcia II 4-0 Olímpico Totana | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Olímpico Totana vs UCAM Murcia II on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Olímpico Totana score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; UCAM Murcia II score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olímpico Totana | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| UCAM Murcia II | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olímpico Totana sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (58 points from 34 matches) and UCAM Murcia II sit 6th (55 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Olímpico Totana | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 44 | 27 | 58 |
| 6 | UCAM Murcia II | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 55 | 37 | 55 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olímpico Totana vs UCAM Murcia II?
- The Footlab model makes UCAM Murcia II the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Olímpico Totana.
- Where and when is Olímpico Totana vs UCAM Murcia II played?
- Olímpico Totana vs UCAM Murcia II is played on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Cayuela, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.