Olympique Béja vs AS Marsa: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 8Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stade Boujemâa Lekmiti, Béja
The Footlab model makes Olympique Béja the favourite at 35%, against 34% for a draw and 31% for AS Marsa. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olympique Béja vs AS Marsa?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Olympique Béja (1,687) and AS Marsa (1,737).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olympique Béja have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; AS Marsa have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ES Zarzis(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 14, 2026 | Club Africain(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | CS Sfaxien(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | CA Bizertin(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | CA Bizertin(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 12, 2026 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | CS Sfaxien(home) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | CA Bizertin(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | ES Zarzis(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Olympique Béja win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 AS Marsa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | AS Marsa 1-0 Olympique Béja | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Olympique Béja 0-6 AS Marsa | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 22, 2024 | Olympique Béja 3-2 AS Marsa | Cup |
| May 26, 2024 | AS Marsa 0-3 Olympique Béja | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Olympique Béja 3-0 AS Marsa | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: AS Marsa vs Olympique Béja on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Olympique Béja score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; AS Marsa score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympique Béja | 0.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| AS Marsa | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olympique Béja sit 14th in Ligue 1 (0 points from 1 matches) and AS Marsa sit 13th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | AS Marsa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Olympique Béja | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olympique Béja vs AS Marsa?
- The Footlab model makes Olympique Béja the favourite at 35%, against 34% for a draw and 31% for AS Marsa.
- Where and when is Olympique Béja vs AS Marsa played?
- Olympique Béja vs AS Marsa is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Boujemâa Lekmiti, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.