Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 32Kick-off on October 6, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Germano Krüger, Ponta Grossa, Paraná
The Footlab model makes Operario-PR the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Botafogo SP. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Operario-PR (1,835) and Botafogo SP (1,828).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Operario-PR have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Botafogo SP have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vila Nova(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Cuiaba(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Avai(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 7, 2026 | São Bernardo(home) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Criciuma(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | São Bernardo(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | America Mineiro(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Juventude(home) | 4-2 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Operario-PR win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Botafogo SP win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Botafogo SP 2-1 Operario-PR | Serie B |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Botafogo SP 1-1 Operario-PR | Serie B |
| May 17, 2025 | Operario-PR 3-0 Botafogo SP | Serie B |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Botafogo SP 0-0 Operario-PR | Serie B |
| Jun 22, 2024 | Operario-PR 0-1 Botafogo SP | Serie B |
| Jan 29, 2021 | Botafogo SP 0-1 Operario-PR | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Botafogo SP vs Operario-PR on Jun 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Operario-PR score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Botafogo SP score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operario-PR | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Botafogo SP | 1.2 | 1.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Operario-PR sit 7th in Serie B (36 points from 24 matches) and Botafogo SP sit 14th (31 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Operario-PR | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 31 | 36 |
| 14 | Botafogo SP | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP?
- The Footlab model makes Operario-PR the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Botafogo SP.
- Where and when is Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP played?
- Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP is played on October 6, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Germano Krüger, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.