America Mineiro vs Operario-PR: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Raimundo Sampaio, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
The Footlab model makes Operario-PR the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for America Mineiro. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win America Mineiro vs Operario-PR?
Operario-PR starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,835 vs 1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, America Mineiro have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Operario-PR have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Sport Recife(away) | 0-3 | Serie B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Novorizontino(away) | 0-3 | Serie B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Athletic Club(home) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Botafogo SP(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Goias(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vila Nova(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Cuiaba(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Avai(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 7, 2026 | São Bernardo(home) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 America Mineiro win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Operario-PR win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Operario-PR 1-0 America Mineiro | Serie B |
| Sep 7, 2025 | America Mineiro 1-1 Operario-PR | Serie B |
| May 4, 2025 | Operario-PR 1-0 America Mineiro | Serie B |
| Oct 24, 2024 | Operario-PR 1-0 America Mineiro | Serie B |
| Jul 6, 2024 | America Mineiro 2-0 Operario-PR | Serie B |
| Nov 21, 2020 | Operario-PR 0-1 America Mineiro | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Operario-PR vs America Mineiro on Jun 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
America Mineiro score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Operario-PR score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| America Mineiro | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Operario-PR | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
America Mineiro sit 19th in Serie B (11 points from 24 matches) and Operario-PR sit 8th (36 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Operario-PR | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 31 | 36 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 42 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for America Mineiro vs Operario-PR?
- The Footlab model makes Operario-PR the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for America Mineiro.
- Where and when is America Mineiro vs Operario-PR played?
- America Mineiro vs Operario-PR is played on October 17, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Raimundo Sampaio, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.