Ponte Preta vs Juventude: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 32Kick-off on October 6, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas, São Paulo
The Footlab model makes Juventude the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for Ponte Preta. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ponte Preta vs Juventude?
Juventude starts as the favourite with a 263-point Elo edge (1,915 vs 1,652).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ponte Preta have 0 wins, 3 draws and 12 defeats; Juventude have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Avai(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Vila Nova(away) | 0-6 | Serie B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Nautico Recife(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ceara(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Athletic Club(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Goias(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fortaleza EC(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Novorizontino(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Atletico-MG(home) | 0-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Atletico-MG(away) | 0-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ponte Preta win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Juventude win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Juventude 3-0 Ponte Preta | Serie B |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Juventude 0-0 Ponte Preta | Serie B |
| Jul 19, 2023 | Ponte Preta 0-0 Juventude | Serie B |
| Dec 30, 2020 | Juventude 2-1 Ponte Preta | Serie B |
| Oct 4, 2020 | Ponte Preta 1-3 Juventude | Serie B |
| Nov 9, 2018 | Juventude 0-1 Ponte Preta | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Juventude vs Ponte Preta on Jun 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ponte Preta score 0.6 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Juventude score 1.2 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta | 0.6 | 2.3 | 1 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Juventude | 1.2 | 0.5 | 12 | 2/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ponte Preta sit 20th in Serie B (10 points from 24 matches) and Juventude sit 2nd (42 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Juventude | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 12 | 42 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 50 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ponte Preta vs Juventude?
- The Footlab model makes Juventude the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for Ponte Preta.
- Where and when is Ponte Preta vs Juventude played?
- Ponte Preta vs Juventude is played on October 6, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.