Where and when is Austin vs Philadelphia Union played?

Austin vs Philadelphia Union is played on August 23, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Q2 Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Austin vs Philadelphia Union: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 21Kick-off on August 23, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Q2 Stadium, Austin, Texas

Austin

Philadelphia Union

The Footlab model makes Philadelphia Union the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Austin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Austin vs Philadelphia Union?

A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Austin (1,752) and Philadelphia Union (1,817).

Austin win34 %

Draw25 %

Philadelphia Union win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Austin have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Philadelphia Union have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Austin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Seattle Sounders(away)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 17, 2026	FC Dallas(home)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 14, 2026	Club America(away)	1-1	Leagues Cup
Aug 10, 2026	Puebla(home)	3-0	Leagues Cup
Aug 7, 2026	Club Tijuana(home)	2-0	Leagues Cup

Philadelphia Union
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Inter Miami(home)	2-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	New York City FC(away)	3-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026	Santos Laguna(home)	0-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Necaxa(home)	3-1	Leagues Cup
Aug 7, 2026	Cruz Azul(away)	0-1	Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Austin win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Philadelphia Union win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 17, 2024	Austin 2-2 Philadelphia Union	Major League Soccer
Jan 23, 2024	Austin 1-1 Philadelphia Union	Friendlies Clubs
Jan 21, 2023	Philadelphia Union 3-2 Austin	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Austin vs Philadelphia Union on Mar 17, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Austin score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Philadelphia Union score 1.8 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Austin	1.3	1.7	4	7/15	10/15
Philadelphia Union	1.8	1.9	2	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Austin sit 14th in Major League Soccer (17 points from 19 matches) and Philadelphia Union sit 13th (20 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Philadelphia Union	20	5	5	10	30	37	20
14	Austin	19	4	5	10	23	38	17

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Austin vs Philadelphia Union?: The Footlab model makes Philadelphia Union the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Austin.
Where and when is Austin vs Philadelphia Union played?: Austin vs Philadelphia Union is played on August 23, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Q2 Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.