Ospitaletto vs Lecco: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 36Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Ospitaletto, Ospitaletto
The Footlab model makes Ospitaletto the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Lecco. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ospitaletto vs Lecco?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Ospitaletto (1,713) and Lecco (1,770).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ospitaletto have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Lecco have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lumezzane(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Trento(away) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rovato Vertovese(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Padova(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Novara(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Arzignano Valchiampo(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(home) | 0-0 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atalanta II(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hellas Verona(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 20, 2026 | Catania(away) | 3-3 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Ospitaletto win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Lecco win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | Ospitaletto 1-1 Lecco | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Lecco 2-1 Ospitaletto | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Lecco 0-1 Ospitaletto | Coppa Italia Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Ospitaletto score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lecco score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ospitaletto | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Lecco | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ospitaletto sit 4th in Serie C - Girone A (3 points from 1 matches) and Lecco sit 11th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ospitaletto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Lecco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ospitaletto vs Lecco?
- The Footlab model makes Ospitaletto the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Lecco.
- Where and when is Ospitaletto vs Lecco played?
- Ospitaletto vs Lecco is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Ospitaletto, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.