Ospitaletto vs Lecco: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 36Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Ospitaletto, Ospitaletto
The Footlab AI model makes Ospitaletto the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Lecco. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ospitaletto wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ospitaletto vs Lecco?
Ospitaletto starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,809 vs 1,694).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ospitaletto vs Lecco
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ospitaletto
4-3-3- 14F. Galuppini
- 9F. Gobbi
- 77D. Stefanoni
- 28M. Panatti
- 16M. Gualandris
- 26G. Mondini
- 4R. Nessi
- 20M. Casali
- 15P. Parmiggiani
- 3M. Possenti
- 22A. Yazıcı
Lecco
4-3-3- 15Alexander Murillo
- 10A. Capello
- 30N. Fasan
- 17G. Pellegrino
- 21A. Metlika
- 6A. Mallamo
- 99Giulio Manenti
- 45M. Rizzo
- 4P. Comi
- 5M. Arena
- 22T. Vettorel
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ospitaletto have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Lecco have 2, 8 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Treviso(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Renate(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Novara(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cittadella(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Athletic Carpi(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Alcione(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Union Brescia(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pergolettese(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(away) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Ospitaletto win, 1 draw, 1 Lecco win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | Ospitaletto 1-1 Lecco | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Lecco 2-1 Ospitaletto | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Lecco 0-1 Ospitaletto | Coppa Italia Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Ospitaletto score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lecco score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ospitaletto | 1.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Lecco | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ospitaletto sit 3rd in Serie C - Girone A (18 points from 9 matches) and Lecco sit 12th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ospitaletto | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 18 |
| 12 | Lecco | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 10 |
A question about Ospitaletto vs Lecco?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ospitaletto vs Lecco?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ospitaletto the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Lecco.
- Where and when is Ospitaletto vs Lecco played?
- Ospitaletto vs Lecco is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Ospitaletto, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.