Oviedo vs Mallorca: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 40Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo
The Footlab AI model makes Oviedo the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Mallorca. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oviedo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oviedo vs Mallorca?
On Elo ratings, Oviedo has 1,978 points and Mallorca 2,079.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Oviedo vs Mallorca
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Oviedo
4-3-2-1- 18V. Mingo
- 5Y. Didi
- 10Alberto Reina
- 8Mikel Goti
- 6Dani Villahermosa
- 20Pablo Sáenz
- 12Dani Calvo
- 23Carlos Domínguez
- 15S. Rodriguez
- 21David Jiménez
- 13Aarón Escandell
Mallorca
4-4-2- 18Fuentes
- 20Pablo Torre
- 7Álex Sala
- 33Adrian Liso
- 6Antonio Sánchez
- 19Josep Cerdà
- 21Raíllo
- 15John Nwankwo
- 24M. Valjent
- 5Alberto Moreno
- 1Arnau Tenas
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oviedo have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Mallorca have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sabadell(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Valladolid(away) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Girona(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Oviedo wins, 4 draws, 2 Mallorca wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Mallorca 3-0 Oviedo | La Liga |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Oviedo 0-0 Mallorca | La Liga |
| Mar 20, 2021 | Mallorca 0-0 Oviedo | Segunda División |
| Jan 3, 2021 | Oviedo 2-2 Mallorca | Segunda División |
| Mar 9, 2019 | Mallorca 1-0 Oviedo | Segunda División |
| Nov 4, 2018 | Oviedo 1-1 Mallorca | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Oviedo score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mallorca score 1.7 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oviedo | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Mallorca | 1.7 | 0.6 | 9 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oviedo sit 9th in Segunda División (14 points from 9 matches) and Mallorca sit 4th (17 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mallorca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 17 |
| 9 | Oviedo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 14 |
A question about Oviedo vs Mallorca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oviedo vs Mallorca?
- The Footlab AI model makes Oviedo the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Mallorca.
- Where and when is Oviedo vs Mallorca played?
- Oviedo vs Mallorca is played on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.