Burgos vs Las Palmas: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 40Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de El Plantío, Burgos
The Footlab AI model makes Burgos the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Las Palmas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Burgos wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,489 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burgos vs Las Palmas?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Burgos (2,034) and Las Palmas (1,984).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Burgos vs Las Palmas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Burgos
4-4-2- 7Jon Karrikaburu
- 16Curro Sánchez
- 19Javi Llabrés
- 14David González
- 12Unai Vencedor
- 4P. Galdames
- 15Oier Luengo
- 8Grego
- 22Brais Martínez
- 2Álex
- 13Ander Cantero
Las Palmas
4-4-2- 10Jesé
- 14Manu Fuster
- 11T. Miyashiro
- 24Iván Jaime
- 12E. Loiodice
- 20Kirian Rodríguez
- 25Valentín Pezzolesi
- 4Álex Suárez
- 15Juan Herzog
- 21G. Bonfanti
- 13José Caro
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 06:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burgos have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Las Palmas have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Almeria(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Eibar(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Burgos wins, 3 draws, 0 Las Palmas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Las Palmas 1-2 Burgos | Segunda División |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Las Palmas 0-0 Burgos | Segunda División |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Burgos 0-0 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
| Feb 6, 2023 | Burgos 0-0 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
| Nov 1, 2022 | Las Palmas 0-2 Burgos | Segunda División |
| Feb 13, 2022 | Las Palmas 0-2 Burgos | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Burgos score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Las Palmas score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burgos | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Las Palmas | 1.4 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burgos sit 9th in Segunda División (17 points from 10 matches) and Las Palmas sit 14th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Burgos | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 17 |
| 14 | Las Palmas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 14 |
A question about Burgos vs Las Palmas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burgos vs Las Palmas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Burgos the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Las Palmas.
- Where and when is Burgos vs Las Palmas played?
- Burgos vs Las Palmas is played on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de El Plantío, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.