Albacete vs Sporting Gijon: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 40Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Carlos Belmonte, Albacete
The Footlab model makes Albacete the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Sporting Gijon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Albacete vs Sporting Gijon?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Albacete (1,955) and Sporting Gijon (1,967).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Albacete have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Sporting Gijon have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Murcia(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Levante(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Burgos(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Racing Santander(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Albacete win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Sporting Gijon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Albacete 1-1 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Sporting Gijon 3-4 Albacete | Segunda División |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Sporting Gijon 0-2 Albacete | Segunda División |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Albacete 3-3 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Mar 1, 2024 | Sporting Gijon 2-1 Albacete | Segunda División |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Albacete 1-3 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Albacete vs Sporting Gijon on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Albacete score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Gijon score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Sporting Gijon | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Albacete sit 20th in Segunda División (0 points from 2 matches) and Sporting Gijon sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sporting Gijon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 20 | Albacete | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Albacete vs Sporting Gijon?
- The Footlab model makes Albacete the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Sporting Gijon.
- Where and when is Albacete vs Sporting Gijon played?
- Albacete vs Sporting Gijon is played on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Carlos Belmonte, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.