Albacete vs Sporting Gijon: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 40Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Carlos Belmonte, Albacete
The Footlab AI model makes Albacete the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Sporting Gijon. The most likely score is 1-1. If Albacete wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,861 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Albacete vs Sporting Gijon?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Albacete (1,897) and Sporting Gijon (1,996).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Albacete vs Sporting Gijon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Albacete
4-4-2- 9Mario Soberón
- 19Alex Rubio
- 17José Corpas
- 6Antonio Pacheco
- 11Víctor Valverde
- 14San Bartolomé
- 21Carlos Neva
- 22Lluís López
- 24Vallejo
- 15Fran Gámez
- 13Diego Mariño
Sporting Gijon
4-4-2- 27Enol Prendes
- 16A. Sarco
- 14Álex Corredera
- 8M. Rodriguez
- 10César Gelabert
- 7Gaspar Campos
- 2Guille Rosas
- 44Andrés Cuenca
- 23Jorge Sáenz
- 4E. Gularte
- 1Rubén Yáñez
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 03:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Albacete have 1 win, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Sporting Gijon have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Valladolid(away) | 0-5 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Girona(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Albacete wins, 2 draws, 2 Sporting Gijon wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sporting Gijon 2-1 Albacete | Segunda División |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Albacete 1-1 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Sporting Gijon 3-4 Albacete | Segunda División |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Sporting Gijon 0-2 Albacete | Segunda División |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Albacete 3-3 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Mar 1, 2024 | Sporting Gijon 2-1 Albacete | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Sporting Gijon vs Albacete on Oct 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Albacete score 0.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Gijon score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Sporting Gijon | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Albacete sit 22nd in Segunda División (1 point from 10 matches) and Sporting Gijon sit 4th (19 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sporting Gijon | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 19 |
| 22 | Albacete | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 1 |
A question about Albacete vs Sporting Gijon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Albacete vs Sporting Gijon?
- The Footlab AI model makes Albacete the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Sporting Gijon.
- Where and when is Albacete vs Sporting Gijon played?
- Albacete vs Sporting Gijon is played on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Carlos Belmonte, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.