Tenerife vs Valladolid: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 40Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz, Santa Cruz de Tenerife (Tenerife)
The Footlab AI model makes Tenerife the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Valladolid. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tenerife wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,496 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tenerife vs Valladolid?
On Elo ratings, Tenerife has 2,012 points and Valladolid 1,916.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tenerife vs Valladolid
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tenerife
4-4-2- 18Enric Gallego
- 17C. Gomis
- 10Nacho Gil
- 6Juanjo
- 29Daniel Fernández
- 20M. Pittón
- 12A. Landázuri
- 2David Rodríguez
- 19César Álvarez
- 27N. Viereck
- 1Dani Martín
Valladolid
4-1-3-2- 19Adrian Arnuncio
- 30Víctor Fernández
- 21J. Ponceau
- 24S. Jurić
- 8T. Ojeda
- 23T. Abed
- 27Iván Garriel
- 15Pablo Tomeo
- 14Iván Alejo
- 4David Torres
- 1Álvaro Aceves
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 10:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tenerife have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Valladolid have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sabadell(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Girona(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Cordoba(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cadiz(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 4-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Covadonga(away) | 1-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Granada CF(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 5-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tenerife wins, 1 draw, 2 Valladolid wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 2, 2024 | Tenerife 2-1 Valladolid | Segunda División |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Valladolid 2-0 Tenerife | Segunda División |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Tenerife 1-4 Valladolid | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Valladolid 0-2 Tenerife | Segunda División |
| Jan 22, 2020 | Tenerife 2-1 Valladolid | Copa del Rey |
| Jan 28, 2018 | Tenerife 0-0 Valladolid | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Tenerife vs Valladolid on Jun 2, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Tenerife score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Valladolid score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenerife | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Valladolid | 1.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tenerife sit 14th in Segunda División (14 points from 11 matches) and Valladolid sit 13th (15 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Valladolid | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 15 |
| 14 | Tenerife | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 14 |
A question about Tenerife vs Valladolid?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tenerife vs Valladolid?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tenerife the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Valladolid.
- Where and when is Tenerife vs Valladolid played?
- Tenerife vs Valladolid is played on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.