Almeria vs Girona: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 40Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Power Horse Stadium – Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos, Almería
The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Girona. The most likely score is 1-1. If Almeria wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Almeria vs Girona?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Almeria (2,075) and Girona (2,040).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Almeria vs Girona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Almeria
4-2-3-1- 24Miguel de la Fuente
- 14Javi Muñoz
- 17B. Cipenga
- 11Sergio Arribas
- 29S. Džodić
- 33Quim Junyent
- 18F. Bonini
- 22D. Chirino
- 2Marcos Luna
- 15Leonardo Lelo
- 1Andrés Fernández
Girona
4-4-2- 19V. Vanat
- 9Abel Ruiz
- 24I. Gonzalez
- 23Carles Pérez
- 8Fran Beltrán
- 17Bryan Gil
- 11Álex Moreno
- 16Alejandro Francés
- 5David López
- 4Javier Boñar
- 13P. Gazzaniga
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 07:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almeria have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Girona have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 4-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Burgos(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | FC Andorra(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mallorca(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Almeria wins, 1 draw, 3 Girona wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2024 | Almeria 0-0 Girona | La Liga |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Girona 5-2 Almeria | La Liga |
| Feb 17, 2023 | Girona 6-2 Almeria | La Liga |
| Oct 20, 2022 | Almeria 3-2 Girona | La Liga |
| Mar 27, 2022 | Almeria 0-1 Girona | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2021 | Girona 1-2 Almeria | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Almeria score 1.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Girona score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almeria | 1.8 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Girona | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Almeria sit 1st in Segunda División (24 points from 10 matches) and Girona sit 5th (18 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Almeria | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 7 | 24 |
| 5 | Girona | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 18 |
A question about Almeria vs Girona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Almeria vs Girona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Girona.
- Where and when is Almeria vs Girona played?
- Almeria vs Girona is played on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Power Horse Stadium – Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.