Bedford Town vs South Shields: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The New Eyrie, Cardington, Bedfordshire
The Footlab model makes South Shields the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Bedford Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bedford Town vs South Shields?
South Shields starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (1,937 vs 1,767).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bedford Town have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; South Shields have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Southport(away) | 1-4 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Buxton(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Darlington 1883(home) | 2-3 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oxford City(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kettering Town(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Morecambe(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chorley(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gateshead(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bedford Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 South Shields win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | South Shields 1-1 Bedford Town | National League - North |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Bedford Town 1-2 South Shields | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: South Shields vs Bedford Town on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bedford Town score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; South Shields score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bedford Town | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| South Shields | 1.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bedford Town sit 20th in National League - North (3 points from 4 matches) and South Shields sit 5th (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | South Shields | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| 20 | Bedford Town | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bedford Town vs South Shields?
- The Footlab model makes South Shields the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Bedford Town.
- Where and when is Bedford Town vs South Shields played?
- Bedford Town vs South Shields is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The New Eyrie, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026MorecambevsKing's Lynn Town
- Nov 21, 2026ChestervsMacclesfield
- Nov 21, 2026SouthportvsBrackley Town
- Nov 21, 2026Oxford CityvsScarborough Athletic
- Nov 21, 2026HerefordvsDarlington 1883
- Nov 21, 2026Spennymoor TownvsHarborough Town
- Nov 21, 2026Worksop TownvsChorley
- Nov 21, 2026Spalding UnitedvsMerthyr Town