Match

Worksop Town vs Chorley: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Windsor Foodservice Stadium, Worksop, Nottinghamshire

Worksop TownChorley

The Footlab model makes Worksop Town the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Chorley. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Worksop Town vs Chorley?

A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Worksop Town (1,806) and Chorley (1,776).

Worksop Town win44 %
Draw26 %
Chorley win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Worksop Town have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Chorley have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Worksop Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hereford(home)0-3National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Hebburn Town(away)0-1National League - North
Aug 15, 2026AFC Telford United(home)2-1National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Darlington 1883(away)2-1National League - North
Jul 28, 2026Mickleover Sports(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Chorley
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Scarborough Athletic(home)2-1National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Marine(away)2-0National League - North
Aug 15, 2026South Shields(away)1-2National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Chester(home)1-2National League - North
Jul 28, 2026Trafford(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Worksop Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Chorley win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Chorley 2-1 Worksop TownNational League - North
Dec 6, 2025Worksop Town 1-1 ChorleyNational League - North
Nov 15, 2025Chorley 2-3 Worksop TownFA Trophy

Last archived meeting: Chorley vs Worksop Town on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Worksop Town score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Chorley score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Worksop Town1.91.076/158/15
Chorley0.91.248/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Worksop Town sit 10th in National League - North (6 points from 4 matches) and Chorley sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Chorley4202656
10Worksop Town4202466

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Worksop Town vs Chorley?
The Footlab model makes Worksop Town the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Chorley.
Where and when is Worksop Town vs Chorley played?
Worksop Town vs Chorley is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Windsor Foodservice Stadium, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Worksop Town and Chorley

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