Paderborn II vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 11Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Breite Bruch, Paderborn
The Footlab model makes Rot-weiss Oberhausen the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Paderborn II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paderborn II vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Paderborn II (1,920) and Rot-weiss Oberhausen (1,987).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paderborn II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Rot-weiss Oberhausen have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bonner SC(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SV Rodinghausen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Schalke 04 II(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Köln II(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bochum II(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sportfreunde Lotte(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bonner SC(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt II(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Paderborn II win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Rot-weiss Oberhausen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Paderborn II 3-0 Rot-weiss Oberhausen | Regionalliga - West |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen 1-0 Paderborn II | Regionalliga - West |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen 2-0 Paderborn II | Regionalliga - West |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Paderborn II 3-1 Rot-weiss Oberhausen | Regionalliga - West |
| May 18, 2024 | Paderborn II 1-1 Rot-weiss Oberhausen | Regionalliga - West |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen 4-1 Paderborn II | Regionalliga - West |
Last archived meeting: Paderborn II vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Paderborn II score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rot-weiss Oberhausen score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paderborn II | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Rot-weiss Oberhausen | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paderborn II sit 10th in Regionalliga - West (5 points from 4 matches) and Rot-weiss Oberhausen sit 4th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 10 | Paderborn II | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paderborn II vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen?
- The Footlab model makes Rot-weiss Oberhausen the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Paderborn II.
- Where and when is Paderborn II vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen played?
- Paderborn II vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen is played on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Breite Bruch, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026SG Wattenscheid 09vsWiedenbrück
- Oct 3, 2026Bonner SCvsWestfalia Rhynern
- Oct 3, 2026SV RodinghausenvsSportfreunde Lotte
- Oct 3, 2026Borussia M'gladbach IIvsBochum II
- Oct 3, 2026Schalke 04 IIvsKöln II
- Oct 3, 2026FC BocholtvsFC Gutersloh
- Oct 3, 2026HildenvsBergisch Gladbach
- Oct 3, 2026Sportfreunde SiegenvsBorussia Dortmund II