Match

Paderborn II vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - WestWest - 11Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Breite Bruch, Paderborn

Paderborn IIRot-weiss Oberhausen

The Footlab model makes Rot-weiss Oberhausen the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Paderborn II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Paderborn II vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen?

A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Paderborn II (1,920) and Rot-weiss Oberhausen (1,987).

Paderborn II win35 %
Draw26 %
Rot-weiss Oberhausen win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paderborn II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Rot-weiss Oberhausen have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Paderborn II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Bonner SC(home)1-1Regionalliga - West
Aug 15, 2026SV Rodinghausen(away)1-1Regionalliga - West
Aug 8, 2026Borussia M'gladbach II(home)1-3Regionalliga - West
Aug 1, 2026Schalke 04 II(away)3-2Regionalliga - West
Jul 25, 2026VfB Oldenburg(home)5-1Friendlies Clubs
Rot-weiss Oberhausen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Köln II(home)1-2Regionalliga - West
Aug 15, 2026Bochum II(away)2-1Regionalliga - West
Aug 9, 2026Sportfreunde Lotte(home)0-0Regionalliga - West
Jul 31, 2026Bonner SC(away)2-1Regionalliga - West
Jul 25, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt II(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Paderborn II win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Rot-weiss Oberhausen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 5, 2026Paderborn II 3-0 Rot-weiss OberhausenRegionalliga - West
Oct 3, 2025Rot-weiss Oberhausen 1-0 Paderborn IIRegionalliga - West
Mar 15, 2025Rot-weiss Oberhausen 2-0 Paderborn IIRegionalliga - West
Sep 28, 2024Paderborn II 3-1 Rot-weiss OberhausenRegionalliga - West
May 18, 2024Paderborn II 1-1 Rot-weiss OberhausenRegionalliga - West
Nov 25, 2023Rot-weiss Oberhausen 4-1 Paderborn IIRegionalliga - West

Last archived meeting: Paderborn II vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen on Apr 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Paderborn II score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rot-weiss Oberhausen score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Paderborn II1.71.3310/157/15
Rot-weiss Oberhausen1.71.5312/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Paderborn II sit 10th in Regionalliga - West (5 points from 4 matches) and Rot-weiss Oberhausen sit 4th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Rot-weiss Oberhausen4211547
10Paderborn II4121675

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Paderborn II vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen?
The Footlab model makes Rot-weiss Oberhausen the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Paderborn II.
Where and when is Paderborn II vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen played?
Paderborn II vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen is played on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Breite Bruch, in the Regionalliga - West.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Paderborn II and Rot-weiss Oberhausen

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