Paduano vs Rio de Janeiro: prediction and stats
Carioca B2Group Stage - 11Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Antônio Ferreira de Medeiros, Cardoso Moreira, Rio de Janeiro
The Footlab AI model makes Paduano the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Rio de Janeiro. The most likely score is 1-1. If Paduano wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,856 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paduano vs Rio de Janeiro?
Paduano starts as the favourite with a 153-point Elo edge (1,501 vs 1,348).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Paduano vs Rio de Janeiro
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Paduano
Not enough data to predict the Paduano lineup.
Rio de Janeiro
Not enough data to predict the Rio de Janeiro lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 02:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paduano have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Rio de Janeiro have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | SE Belford Roxo(home) | 3-3 | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | 7 de Abril(home) | 5-0 | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Friburguense(away) | 0-1 | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Campos AA(home) | 1-1 | Carioca B2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Paraty(away) | 3-0 | Carioca B2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Friburguense(away) | 0-5 | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Campos AA(home) | 0-1 | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Paraty(away) | 4-0 | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Barra Mansa(home) | 2-0 | Carioca B2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Serra Macaense(away) | 1-2 | Carioca B2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Paduano score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Rio de Janeiro score 1.0 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paduano | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Rio de Janeiro | 1.0 | 2.4 | 3 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paduano sit 4th in Carioca B2 (15 points from 9 matches) and Rio de Janeiro sit 9th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Paduano | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 15 |
| 9 | Rio de Janeiro | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 10 |
A question about Paduano vs Rio de Janeiro?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paduano vs Rio de Janeiro?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paduano the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Rio de Janeiro.
- Where and when is Paduano vs Rio de Janeiro played?
- Paduano vs Rio de Janeiro is played on November 1, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Antônio Ferreira de Medeiros, in the Carioca B2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.