Búzios vs SE Belford Roxo: prediction and stats
Carioca B2Group Stage - 11Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes SE Belford Roxo the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Búzios. The most likely score is 1-1. If SE Belford Roxo wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,680 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Búzios vs SE Belford Roxo?
SE Belford Roxo starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,474 vs 1,361).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Búzios vs SE Belford Roxo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Búzios
Not enough data to predict the Búzios lineup.
SE Belford Roxo
Not enough data to predict the SE Belford Roxo lineup.
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 10:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Búzios have 5 wins, 0 draws and 10 defeats; SE Belford Roxo have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Paduano(home) | 2-0 | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 7 de Abril(away) | 1-4 | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Friburguense(home) | 2-3 | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Campos AA(away) | 1-3 | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Paraty(home) | 3-2 | Carioca B2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Barra Mansa(home) | 3-1 | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Paduano(away) | 3-3 | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Serra Macaense(home) | 1-1 | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 6, 2026 | 7 de Abril(away) | 2-0 | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Santa Cruz RJ(home) | 3-0 | Carioca B2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Búzios score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; SE Belford Roxo score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Búzios | 1.5 | 1.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| SE Belford Roxo | 1.7 | 1.6 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Búzios sit 11th in Carioca B2 (3 points from 9 matches) and SE Belford Roxo sit 6th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | SE Belford Roxo | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 14 |
| 11 | Búzios | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 3 |
A question about Búzios vs SE Belford Roxo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Búzios vs SE Belford Roxo?
- The Footlab AI model makes SE Belford Roxo the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Búzios.
- Where and when is Búzios vs SE Belford Roxo played?
- Búzios vs SE Belford Roxo is played on November 1, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC), in the Carioca B2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.