Paraty vs Campos AA: prediction and stats
Carioca B2Group Stage - 11Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Paraty the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Campos AA. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paraty vs Campos AA?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Paraty (1,614) and Campos AA (1,587).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paraty have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Campos AA have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | Goytacaz(away) | 2-3 | Carioca B2 |
| Nov 6, 2025 | Santa Cruz RJ(home) | 0-1 | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Barra Mansa(away) | 2-1 | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 7 de Abril(home) | 1-1 | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Serra Macaense(away) | 2-2 | Carioca B2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Cardoso Moreira(home) | 1-2 | Carioca C |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Cardoso Moreira(away) | 1-4 | Carioca C |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Uniao Central(away) | 0-1 | Carioca C |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Uni Souza(home) | 3-1 | Carioca C |
| Jun 7, 2026 | EC Resende(away) | 4-0 | Carioca C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Paraty win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Campos AA win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2024 | Campos AA 1-0 Paraty | Carioca C |
How many goals should we expect?
Paraty score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Campos AA score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraty | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Campos AA | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Paraty | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paraty vs Campos AA?
- The Footlab model makes Paraty the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Campos AA.
- Where and when is Paraty vs Campos AA played?
- Paraty vs Campos AA is played on November 1, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC), in the Carioca B2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.