Pafos vs Krasava Ypsonas: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Stelios Kyriakides, Paphos
The Footlab model makes Pafos the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Krasava Ypsonas. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pafos vs Krasava Ypsonas?
Pafos starts as the favourite with a 267-point Elo edge (2,021 vs 1,753).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pafos have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Krasava Ypsonas have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Dinamo Tirana(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(home) | 3-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Enosis(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| May 8, 2026 | Anorthosis(away) | 2-5 | 1. Division |
| May 2, 2026 | AEL(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ethnikos Achna(home) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Pafos win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Krasava Ypsonas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Pafos 7-0 Krasava Ypsonas | 1. Division |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Krasava Ypsonas 2-3 Pafos | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Pafos vs Krasava Ypsonas on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pafos score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Krasava Ypsonas score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pafos | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Krasava Ypsonas | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pafos sit 4th in 1. Division (62 points from 36 matches) and Krasava Ypsonas sit 10th (40 points from 33 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pafos | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 66 | 38 | 62 |
| 10 | Krasava Ypsonas | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 36 | 44 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pafos vs Krasava Ypsonas?
- The Footlab model makes Pafos the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Krasava Ypsonas.
- Where and when is Pafos vs Krasava Ypsonas played?
- Pafos vs Krasava Ypsonas is played on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Stelios Kyriakides, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.