Omonia Aradippou vs Aris: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Aradippou, Aradippou
The Footlab model makes Aris the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Omonia Aradippou. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Omonia Aradippou vs Aris?
Aris starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,912 vs 1,750).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Omonia Aradippou have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Aris have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Ethnikos Achna(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| May 9, 2026 | Akritas(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| May 1, 2026 | Olympiakos(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Krasava Ypsonas(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Union Berlin(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Atromitos(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 22, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(home) | 3-4 | 1. Division |
| May 16, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(away) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Omonia Aradippou win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Aris win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | Aris 2-2 Omonia Aradippou | 1. Division |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Omonia Aradippou 0-1 Aris | 1. Division |
| Jan 3, 2025 | Aris 2-0 Omonia Aradippou | 1. Division |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Omonia Aradippou 0-3 Aris | 1. Division |
| Apr 7, 2021 | Aris 0-2 Omonia Aradippou | 2. Division |
| Nov 4, 2020 | Omonia Aradippou 0-2 Aris | 2. Division |
Last archived meeting: Aris vs Omonia Aradippou on Dec 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Omonia Aradippou score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Aris score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omonia Aradippou | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Aris | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Omonia Aradippou sit 9th in 1. Division (42 points from 33 matches) and Aris sit 6th (51 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aris | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 61 | 45 | 51 |
| 9 | Omonia Aradippou | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 42 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Omonia Aradippou vs Aris?
- The Footlab model makes Aris the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Omonia Aradippou.
- Where and when is Omonia Aradippou vs Aris played?
- Omonia Aradippou vs Aris is played on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Aradippou, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.