Nea Salamis vs Karmiotissa: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Vitex Ammochostos Epistrofi, Larnaca
The Footlab model makes Nea Salamis the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Karmiotissa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nea Salamis vs Karmiotissa?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Nea Salamis (1,817) and Karmiotissa (1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nea Salamis have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Karmiotissa have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Krasava Odintsovo(home) | 7-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Anorthosis(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Enosis(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Nieciecza(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | PAEEK(away) | 0-0 | 2. Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | ASIL Lysi(away) | 6-2 | 2. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | MEAP Nisou(home) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Ayia Napa(home) | 3-0 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nea Salamis win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Karmiotissa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Karmiotissa 1-0 Nea Salamis | 2. Division |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Nea Salamis 1-0 Karmiotissa | 2. Division |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Nea Salamis 0-0 Karmiotissa | 2. Division |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Nea Salamis 0-0 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Nea Salamis 2-1 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Karmiotissa 2-2 Nea Salamis | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Karmiotissa vs Nea Salamis on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nea Salamis score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Karmiotissa score 2.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nea Salamis | 2.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Karmiotissa | 2.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nea Salamis vs Karmiotissa?
- The Footlab model makes Nea Salamis the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Karmiotissa.
- Where and when is Nea Salamis vs Karmiotissa played?
- Nea Salamis vs Karmiotissa is played on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Vitex Ammochostos Epistrofi, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.