Anorthosis vs AEK Larnaca: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Antonis Papadopoulos, Larnaca
The Footlab AI model makes AEK Larnaca the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Anorthosis. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Anorthosis vs AEK Larnaca?
AEK Larnaca starts as the favourite with a 252-point Elo edge (2,046 vs 1,794).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Anorthosis vs AEK Larnaca
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Anorthosis
3-4-3- 21Rafael Lopes
- 70M. Ilia
- 32E. Sosa
- 20C. Aboagye
- 88A. Chrysostomou
- 9Alessio Da Cruz
- 36Stijn Middendorp
- 5Kiko
- 44N. Tošić
- 22K. Sergiou
- 28J. Karlstrøm
AEK Larnaca
4-2-3-1- 11R. Bajić
- 14A. Layouni
- 7Gus Ledes
- 20J. Repas
- 21Miramón
- 9Đ. Ivanović
- 15H. Miličević
- 23S. Köhler
- 22G. Ekpolo
- 3M. van der Hoorn
- 92A. Paleari
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 12:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Anorthosis have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; AEK Larnaca have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pafos(home) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Enosis(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Nea Salamis(away) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Aris(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Anorthosis wins, 3 draws, 3 AEK Larnaca wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | AEK Larnaca 4-0 Anorthosis | 1. Division |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Anorthosis 1-1 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Anorthosis 2-2 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Oct 20, 2024 | AEK Larnaca 1-0 Anorthosis | 1. Division |
| Apr 28, 2024 | AEK Larnaca 1-1 Anorthosis | 1. Division |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Anorthosis 0-1 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: AEK Larnaca vs Anorthosis on Jan 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Anorthosis score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; AEK Larnaca score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anorthosis | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| AEK Larnaca | 1.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Anorthosis sit 13th in 1. Division (3 points from 5 matches) and AEK Larnaca sit 3rd (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | AEK Larnaca | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 12 |
| 13 | Anorthosis | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
A question about Anorthosis vs AEK Larnaca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Anorthosis vs AEK Larnaca?
- The Footlab AI model makes AEK Larnaca the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Anorthosis.
- Where and when is Anorthosis vs AEK Larnaca played?
- Anorthosis vs AEK Larnaca is played on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Antonis Papadopoulos, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.