Apoel Nicosia vs Olympiakos: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Neo GSP, Levkosía
The Footlab AI model makes Apoel Nicosia the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Olympiakos. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,630 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Apoel Nicosia vs Olympiakos?
Apoel Nicosia starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,888 vs 1,743).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Apoel Nicosia vs Olympiakos
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Apoel Nicosia
4-1-4-1- 15F. Pedrozo
- 8Dálcio
- 18D. Limnios
- 9A. Bakasetas
- 72A. Barák
- 10Marquinhos
- 34K. Laifis
- 3K. Stafylidis
- 25Joan Sastre
- 16Álvaro Carrillo
- 27V. Belec
Olympiakos
3-4-3- 26P. Kynigopoulos
- 11A. Lolis
- 15R. Sappinen
- 10D. Prokop
- 9Zannetos Savva
- 8Bruno Paz
- 77A. Vrikkis
- 5Eduardo Kunde
- 24M. Tamás
- 2C. Frantzis
- 1C. Talichmanidis
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 01:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Apoel Nicosia have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Olympiakos have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Halkanoras(home) | 5-2 | Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(home) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Pafos(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Doxa(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Karmiotissa(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Krasava Ypsonas(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(away) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Aris(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Apoel Nicosia wins, 1 draw, 0 Olympiakos wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Olympiakos 0-2 Apoel Nicosia | 1. Division |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Apoel Nicosia 2-2 Olympiakos | 1. Division |
| Jan 3, 2023 | Apoel Nicosia 1-0 Olympiakos | 1. Division |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Olympiakos 0-2 Apoel Nicosia | 1. Division |
| Feb 2, 2022 | Olympiakos 0-4 Apoel Nicosia | Cup |
| Jan 19, 2022 | Apoel Nicosia 2-1 Olympiakos | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Olympiakos vs Apoel Nicosia on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Apoel Nicosia score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Olympiakos score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apoel Nicosia | 1.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Olympiakos | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Apoel Nicosia sit 6th in 1. Division (14 points from 8 matches) and Olympiakos sit 12th (6 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Apoel Nicosia | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 14 |
| 12 | Olympiakos | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 6 |
A question about Apoel Nicosia vs Olympiakos?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Apoel Nicosia vs Olympiakos?
- The Footlab AI model makes Apoel Nicosia the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Olympiakos.
- Where and when is Apoel Nicosia vs Olympiakos played?
- Apoel Nicosia vs Olympiakos is played on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Neo GSP, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.