Apoel Nicosia vs Olympiakos: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Neo GSP, Levkosía
The Footlab model makes Apoel Nicosia the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Olympiakos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Apoel Nicosia vs Olympiakos?
Apoel Nicosia starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,876 vs 1,755).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Apoel Nicosia have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Olympiakos have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Anorthosis(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kifisia(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 22, 2026 | Pafos(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| May 16, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Anorthosis(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| May 9, 2026 | AEL(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| May 1, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ethnikos Achna(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Akritas(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Apoel Nicosia win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Olympiakos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Olympiakos 0-2 Apoel Nicosia | 1. Division |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Apoel Nicosia 2-2 Olympiakos | 1. Division |
| Jan 3, 2023 | Apoel Nicosia 1-0 Olympiakos | 1. Division |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Olympiakos 0-2 Apoel Nicosia | 1. Division |
| Feb 2, 2022 | Olympiakos 0-4 Apoel Nicosia | Cup |
| Jan 19, 2022 | Apoel Nicosia 2-1 Olympiakos | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Olympiakos vs Apoel Nicosia on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Apoel Nicosia score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Olympiakos score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apoel Nicosia | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Olympiakos | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Apoel Nicosia sit 5th in 1. Division (52 points from 36 matches) and Olympiakos sit 11th (40 points from 33 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Apoel Nicosia | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 53 | 45 | 52 |
| 11 | Olympiakos | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 32 | 44 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Apoel Nicosia vs Olympiakos?
- The Footlab model makes Apoel Nicosia the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Olympiakos.
- Where and when is Apoel Nicosia vs Olympiakos played?
- Apoel Nicosia vs Olympiakos is played on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Neo GSP, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.