Match

Palencia CF vs Villaralbo: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 · Matchday 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Nueva Balastera, Palencia

Palencia CFVillaralbo

The Footlab AI model makes Palencia CF the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Villaralbo. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,292 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Palencia CF vs Villaralbo?

On Elo ratings, Palencia CF has 1,900 points and Villaralbo 1,838.

58%24%18%
Palencia CF winDrawVillaralbo win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Palencia CF vs Villaralbo

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Palencia CF

Not enough data to predict the Palencia CF lineup.

Villaralbo

Not enough data to predict the Villaralbo lineup.

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 09:53 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Palencia CF have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Villaralbo have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Palencia CF
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 14, 2026Atlético Mansillés(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 8, 2026Bembibre(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 31, 2026Cristo Atlético(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 24, 2026Turégano(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 17, 2026Calasanz de Soria(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Guijuelo(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 31, 2026Atlético Mansillés(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 24, 2026Bembibre(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 18, 2026Cristo Atlético(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 10, 2026Turégano(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Palencia CF wins, 1 draw, 3 Villaralbo wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026Villaralbo 3-2 Palencia CFTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 8, 2025Palencia CF 0-0 VillaralboTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 17, 2025Palencia CF 0-1 VillaralboTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 30, 2024Villaralbo 1-0 Palencia CFTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 6, 2024Palencia CF 1-0 VillaralboTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 18, 2023Villaralbo 0-1 Palencia CFTercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Villaralbo vs Palencia CF on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Palencia CF score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Villaralbo score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Palencia CF1.51.156/156/15
Villaralbo1.61.349/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Palencia CF sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (17 points from 11 matches) and Villaralbo sit 11th (13 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Palencia CF11524161117
11Villaralbo11344161413

A question about Palencia CF vs Villaralbo?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Palencia CF vs Villaralbo?
The Footlab AI model makes Palencia CF the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Villaralbo.
Where and when is Palencia CF vs Villaralbo played?
Palencia CF vs Villaralbo is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Nueva Balastera, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Palencia CF and Villaralbo